Weekly Waiver Wire – Week 3: April 23-29
avatar

Last week we advised you to pick-up Santiago Casilla, as we knew he’d be the primary closer for San Fran when Wilson went down.  We also advised you to pick-up Henry Rodriguez, who we think will be the sole closer sooner than later (Lidge just blew another save opp).  We also told you Reimold, LaHair, JD Martinez, Schafer, Bauer, and Samardzija were shallow league options now.  All that still holds true, though as I said last week, I don’t have complete faith in Schafer keeping it up.  Samardzija had another bad outing, but hope remains as his stuff is fantastic.  He just needs to learn how to harness it as a starter… he has very little experience.  Still, in 10-team leagues he should probably not be owned right now (neither should Schafer).  This week, we don’t have too many shallow league waivers, but we do have a lot of deep league waiver options. Shallow League Waivers SP Tim Hudson (ATL) – He’s coming back to start on either April 29th or 30th.  Just in case he went undrafted in your shallow league and is still available… time to pick him up. OF Lorenzo Cain (KC) – Just in case anyone dropped him in a shallow league when he went on the DL… he’ll return April 26th and is definitely worth picking-up if he’s available. Deep League Waivers RP Francisco Cordero (TOR) – With Sergio Santos on the shelf with a shoulder injury, Cordero will serve as closer for the Jays.  There’s inflammation, but there doesn’t appear to be any structural damage.  We’ll know more in the next day or two, but Santos will likely be back in 2 weeks or so.  If you want to presume this is more serious than they’re letting on, though, then Cordero might be someone … Click here to continue reading…

Setting Your Lineup – A Very Early Look at Team Splits
avatar

When you’re setting your lineup for the week, you probably have about 2/3 of your starters set in stone.  You probably have 9 Pitching slots to fill with 2-3 closers, 2-3 elite ace-type starters, and maybe a couple starters who are starting twice that week.  Obviously this varies from week to week as you might have 0-1 2-starters one week, then 4-5 2-starters the next week.  So let’s say you have 3 closers, 2 aces, and 2 2-starters… leaving you with 2 open Pitcher slots and 4-5 starters on your team to choose from.  How do you decide who to start?  Some people just pick who they think are their best 2 starters and use them.  Most probably look at match-ups, though.  There’s a few things you look at to determine which starters are the best plays in a given week: How skilled is the starter? How has the pitcher performed recently? How well does the opposing team hit lefties/righties? How good are the teams involved at Home/Away? Is the stadium where the starter is pitching favorable or unfavorable? Is it a favorable match-up for your starter against the opposing pitcher? I’m going to use examples from one of my own D&P teams (10-team league) to illustrate.  Here’s the pitchers that I have available on my team to choose from (pitchers in bold are automatically in the lineup regardless of match-up): Sergio Santos (closer) Huston Street (closer) Hector Santiago (closer) Felix Hernandez (ace) David Price (ace) John Danks (2-start) Matt Moore Chris Sale Brandon Beachy Jaime Garcia Mike Minor Mat Latos Henry Rodriguez (bench) First, I want to start 3 closers to keep up in saves (the only time I wouldn’t start 3 would be if I had a sizable lead towards the end of the season or if I … Click here to continue reading…

Weekly Waiver Wire – Week 2: April 16-22
avatar

Shallow League Waivers RP Santiago Casilla (SFG) – He was their choice last season when Wilson was out for a few games, converting 6/7 saves.  I see no reason why this year will be any different… and this time, he could end up closing for the whole season. RP Henry Rodriguez (WAS) – With Storen out indefinitely, I’m becoming more and more confident that H-Rod will end up as the sole closer in Washington.  Lidge blew a save earlier this week while no one has touched H-Rod (just 1 hit given up in over 3 innings with 6 Ks). OF JD Martinez (HOU) – This is a guy I was pretty high on coming into the season.  Most fantasy owners avoided him due to the fact that he plays for the Astros – but the Astros are hitting this year!  JD is their #3 hitter so he’s in prime position to rack up the R/RBI and he already has 3 HR and 10 RBI.  He’s also hit in every game so far.  I expect JD to be on every shallow team’s roster shortly. 1B/OF Bryan LaHair (CHC) – LaHair may not be 1B eligible just yet, but he’s on his way (6 games at 1B – he needs 10).  He’s hit in every game so far that he’s played in after missing a couple early games due to back problems.  Bryan also has 2 HR, including a grand slam.  He put up ridiculous numbers in AAA last season and so far, he looks like he’s the real deal more or less.  He’s still striking out almost half the time (10 Ks in 23 ABs) but the power looks real, and he should be able to hit around .260 or so when all is said and done (he’s at .348 right … Click here to continue reading…

State of Closers
avatar

I predicted before the year started that this would likely be the most volatile year for closers that we have seen in a long time… possibly ever.  This was BEFORE closers Joakim Soria and Ryan Madson were out for the year, Kyle Farnsworth was out for a month and a half, Andrew Bailey was out until August, and Drew Storen was in danger of possibly missing the year as well.  There just weren’t that many closers without any question marks coming in.  In fact, you could make the argument that none of them had 0 question marks. The top closer, Craig Kimbrel, has all of 1 year of closing experience.  The next best option, Jon Papelbon, is switching leagues this season.  He’s 1/1 so far, so he looks good.  Next is John Axford, who has been a closer for just a season and a half.  He has looked pretty shaky so far, pitching poorly on Sunday, then almost blowing a save on Monday… though I’m not overly concerned.  The immortal Mariano Rivera is now 42 years-old… the wheels could fall off any day.  He’s already blown a save and is 0/1.  Heath Bell struggled a bit last season and lost the ability to strike hitters out… he’s also changing teams this season.  He’s already blown a save and is 0/1 as well.  Next is Jose Valverde – he of perfect 49/49 fame.  His xERA (3.75) was a run and a half higher than his actual ERA (2.24) – though his job is fairly secure.  He blew his first save opportunity, but closed out his second in fine form and is now 1/2 on the season.  These are the top options at closer! Then you go down a bit to Jason Motte – he looks like a solid closer, but his … Click here to continue reading…